EXPERT FINANCIAL ANALYSIS OF THE GLOBAL PAPER & FOREST PRODUCTS INDUSTRY
ABOUT ERA FOREST PRODUCTS RESEARCH

ERA Forest Products Research is an independent financial research company with an exclusive focus on the Paper and Forest Products Sector, including timber, lumber, OSB, plywood, pulp, newsprint, communication paper, tissue, packaging and fibre companies.


ERA covers all companies in the Forest Products Sector, Domestic and International, Equity and Debt.


ERA combines these forecasts with fundamental analysis and on-site company visits to determine corporate valuations and to make actionable investment recommendations.


The accuracy of ERA’s actionable investment recommendations has been recognized by leading alpha-capture programs globally.


The firm’s proprietary models, data sources, and extensive industry network allow its team of analysts to identify turning points in commodity price cycles.

LEADERSHIP

Kevin Mason

CFA - Managing Director

Kevin Mason joined ERA Forest Products Research in 1997 after starting his financial career in banking, and then co-founding a consulting practice that included corporate advisory and valuation services to diverse industries from biotech to retail. Since joining ERA, Mr. Mason’s focus has been exclusively forest products, covering the sector’s major North American companies and providing detailed analysis of the global forest products industry to clients worldwide, including institutional investors managing over $5 trillion in assets.

Claire Huxtable

RPF, CFA - Senior Analyst

After beginning her career in the woods working for Western Forest Products on BC’s Vancouver Island, Claire Huxtable moved into private equity markets, working in the U.S. as a portfolio analyst and account manager for Hancock Timber Resource Group, one of the world’s largest timberland investment management organizations. Prior to joining ERA Forest Products Research, she was a member of RBC’s top-ranked capital markets forest products research team, where she focused on North American paper and forest products companies.

John Cooney

Equity Analyst

After being a Lumber trader for more than three years at Olympic Industries, Canada’s leading international wholesale lumber company, John Cooney joined ERA Forest Products Research as an equity analyst in 2017. John holds a bachelor’s degree in Political Science and Economics from Mount Allison University and a Master of Management, Specialization in Finance and Investment Theory from the University of British Columbia.

METHODOLOGY

ERA’s investment philosophy can be summarized as follows: “In order to invest successfully in the Paper and Forest Products sector, you must get the commodity call right.” As such, ERA has developed many channels to source information leading to reliable commodity price forecasts. These include:

NETWORK OF INDUSTRY CONTACTS

Managing Director Kevin Mason maintains an expert network of over 200 contacts within the global paper & forest products sector. While he is on a first-name basis with many of the CEOs and CFOs of these companies, it is important to note that the most valuable information is often derived from employees at the ground level. These include:

– Mill managers
– Plant engineers
– Union representatives
– Downstream/upstream buyers and sellers
– Government officials
– Paper brokers
– Sales directors and front-line sales people at primary commodity producers

CHART & MODEL DATABASE

Containing over 1500 charts examining every aspect of how commodities interact with each other – as well as with currency changes and other economic indicators, ERA maintains a comprehensive research database of paper and forest products sector data series. Each month, within the Monthly report, ERA selects at least 30 of the most relevant charts to explain future forecasts.

EXTENSIVE DATA SOURCES

ERA subscribes to dozens of global data sources relating to the paper and forest products sector covering international trade, supply/demand, etc. Prior to its input into their models, all data is verified and scrubbed for accuracy.

SERVICES

Forest Products Monthly – Forward-looking commodity research with a 6-18 month time horizon; Detailed pricing forecasts for all the major commodities within the Forest Products Sector backed up by supply and demand analysis presented in a user-friendly chart focused format. Published 10 times/year.

Forest Products Investment Strategy – Actionable investment recommendations for the Global Forest Products Sector, including coverage of the Equity and Fixed-Income markets, and both long and short recommendations. Published on an ad hoc basis.

Quarterly Timber Price Update – Price trends and analysis of Log prices, differentiating the major North American regions as well as analysis of the European and Austral-Asian markets. Published Quarterly.

ERA Commodity-Price Update – Tracks the price changes amongst the different commodities on a weekly basis. Published 2–3 times/month.

Special Reports & Comments – Forward-looking analysis of the latest industry news and statistics published on an ad hoc basis.

Timberland Transactions; Sawmill Capacity Additions; OSB Mill Capacity Additions; Market Pulp Capacity Additions; Market Pulp Supply & Demand Upon request, clients may receive these internally used excel spreadsheets. Published quarterly, except for the Market Pulp Supply & Demand spreadsheet which is published semi-annually.

Meetings & Conference Calls with ERA’s Senior Analyst as required.

COVERAGE

ERA Forest Products Research’s proprietary models, data sources, and extensive industry network allow its team of analysts to identify turning points in commodity price cycles.

COMMODITIES

Commodities
Timberland
Timber/Logs
Lumber
OSB/Plywood
Housing Outlook
Pulp
Newsprint
Coated Paper
Uncoated Paper
Linerboard/Containerboard
Recovered Papers
European Newsprint, Paper, Packaging

COMPANIES

North America: US & Canada
Boise Cascade
Canfor Corporation
Canfor Pulp
Caraustar Industries
Cascades
Catalyst Paper
Domtar
Fortress Paper
Georgia Pacific
Graphic Packaging Corp
Interfor
International Paper
Kruger
Louisiana Pacific
Mercer International
Norbord
Packaging Corp of America
PotlatchDeltic
Resolute Forest Products
Rayonier
Rayonier Advanced Materials
Verso Paper
West Fraser
Western Forest Products
WestRock
Weyerhaeuser
White Birch Paper

Europe
DS Smith
Holmen
Metsa Board
Sappi Limited
SCA
Smurfit Kappa
Stora Enso
UPM

South America
Arauco
Suzano

Asia/Africa
Mondi
Nine Dragons Paper
Nippon Paper
Oji Paper

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